Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005677 0.006001 0.006338 0.006713 0.007122 0.007553 0.008045
2026-01-25 0.005088 0.005554 0.006060 0.006653 0.007334 0.008095 0.009017
2026-02-01 0.004835 0.005396 0.006025 0.006791 0.007704 0.008769 0.010122
2026-02-08 0.004558 0.005172 0.005879 0.006761 0.007847 0.009158 0.010890
2026-02-15 0.004347 0.005002 0.005772 0.006756 0.008000 0.009549 0.011670
2026-02-22 0.004123 0.004798 0.005606 0.006658 0.008019 0.009758 0.012216
2026-03-01 0.003932 0.004623 0.005460 0.006570 0.008036 0.009955 0.012748
2026-03-08 0.003801 0.004511 0.005385 0.006565 0.008154 0.010285 0.013478
2026-03-15 0.003596 0.004297 0.005169 0.006360 0.007989 0.010212 0.013618
2026-03-22 0.003505 0.004224 0.005129 0.006383 0.008131 0.010570 0.014415
2026-03-29 0.003444 0.004184 0.005129 0.006459 0.008347 0.011043 0.015421
2026-04-05 0.003338 0.004082 0.005041 0.006407 0.008376 0.011240 0.016007
2026-04-12 0.003251 0.004003 0.004982 0.006394 0.008462 0.011531 0.016778
2026-04-19 0.003154 0.003906 0.004895 0.006338 0.008481 0.011719 0.017391
2026-04-26 0.003128 0.003905 0.004937 0.006466 0.008780 0.012361 0.018846
2026-05-03 0.003051 0.003830 0.004875 0.006438 0.008838 0.012620 0.019645
2026-05-10 0.002987 0.003770 0.004830 0.006433 0.008929 0.012937 0.020578
2026-05-17 0.002898 0.003674 0.004730 0.006342 0.008879 0.013011 0.021055
2026-05-24 0.002817 0.003586 0.004639 0.006260 0.008839 0.013098 0.021565
2026-05-31 0.002764 0.003535 0.004601 0.006255 0.008921 0.013401 0.022533
2026-06-07 0.002658 0.003407 0.004445 0.006065 0.008689 0.013137 0.022311
2026-06-14 0.002619 0.003373 0.004427 0.006086 0.008810 0.013508 0.023458
2026-06-21 0.002597 0.003362 0.004440 0.006157 0.009016 0.014047 0.025034